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This weekend, we have a 14-fight card at Brazil. DraftKings has some decent contests out there for this Fight Night card, which can be uncommon for all these free ones. The main tourney is the $8 entrance and pays $20k to 1st. That is the principal GPP I will be pursuing this week. As always, I will be in the 3-entry max and only entry GPPs too. But this week DraftKings includes two contests for trips out to Vegas to see that the McGregor vs Khabib fight. Flight, hotel, and fights all paid for. The floor chairs competition is a $33 entrance along with the non-floor seats competition is simply a $15 entrance. I am going to need to take a few shots in that as well. Also, DraftKings simply released a contest for UFC 299 that’s a $10 entry with a massive $100,000 to 1st place. That’s by far the greatest prize we have ever seen in DFS MMA, so let’s build a bankroll this weekend so we are able to take a few additional shots at that $100k. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I like this week in Addition to my fade of this week:
Money Game play of the week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is your safest win on the card and I believe she gets this fight finished early. That is where I’m starting my money LUs weekly. Only give me the -1100 favored who’s being fed up an easy win here, for my cash games. I really do like a lot of the top favorites on this particular card, I simply are the most shocked when Souza lost. I think she’s good in both formats, but she will probably be chalky in GPPs, so money games would be the ideal place to get your Souza investment this week. Take this win, then find 3 others and you need to be useful in cash games.
GPP play of the week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I’m a big Charles“Do Bronx“ Oliveira enthusiast, and he’s a few of my favorites in UFC history. I think we could see another awesome one here. This battle appears to be simple to call. Do Bronx will look for the early takedown and when he could get it then he probably gets a 1st round sub. If this happens he must lock up a strong 100 points and I am pretty confident in being the results of this struggle, so that is why he is my GPP drama of this week. He’s also my GPP drama of this week, and not my Money play of the week for a motive. If he can not get the takedown(s) early, then he will probably quit and get completed himself with strikes. I don’t enjoy that danger of a reduced floor for my own money LU, therefore I prefer Souza there. But in GPPs I like saving the 200 and moving down to perform Bronx.
Underdog play of this week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I would like Anders more if he was not carrying this fight on short notice, and if it was not in Brazil. However he can have a very clear route to victory here and that is by knocking out Santos who doesn’t possess a great chin. Anders could also go for takedowns in this fight and he could win with a few hard GNP too. At $7.6k he will almost surely end up on the winning LU when he is ready to acquire the KO. This is the main event, so he will have 5 rounds to function with. I really do think that is a solid matchup for Anders, however he has to be competitive and not hang out to the exterior. When he hangs out to the outside too long Santos will eat up him with kicks and it might be a brief night for Anders. I am going to select him to get the win as an underdog in Brazil and I think he gets it done in the first two rounds with a KO. That will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it will win you a GPP if you can get your other 5 spots correct also.
Fade of the week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is a fade for me. Last time I wrote him up as my fade of this week here, I was very wrong and he scored over 100 points. If this happens again , then so be it. However, I refuse to rely on an early KO win to cover off a $9.2k salary from a man who doesn’t throw many strikes. At $9.2k I want at least 92 points from Alvey when I roll up him and the only real way get gets that is using a 1st round KO win. That could occur here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not eager to spend my money in it.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using analysis on every fight, my personal strategies & recommendations, and also my pick outlook for every fight then it is possible to find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:

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