There’s nothing better than just identifying a mismatch in which the oddsmakers have made a mistake and you reap the benefits of an underdog win. But that’s a lot easier to state than it’s to do and at times it burns you another way when those apparent cut-and-dry favorites price you cash once the underdog pulls off that upset.
Among the most shocking upsets of 2018 had arguably the best pound-for-pound fighter Demetrious Johnson losing by unanimous choice to Henry Cejudo (+350) at UFC 227. This doesn’t mean that you should be swinging for the fences on every card with a great deal of underdog stakes, but only know that there could be money to be made on a well-placed wager.
2018 was a Bounce-Back Year for Underdogs
Underdog victories were on the decline lately, as in 2015 dogs had a winning percentage of 38.5, but in 2017 that percentage fell to 32. But, there was a bit of a comeback in 2018 as underdogs finished at a 36 percent and that trend has continued into 2019.
During 19 events this season, underdogs are hitting a speed of 36.8 percent. Most recently, UFC Fight Night Greenville: Moicano vs the Korean Zombie saw puppies acquire five of those 11 fights, making bettors $205.91 based on a $100 wager on every fight. The biggest upset of the day was about the undercard using Molly McCann (+215) beating Ariane Lipski. Overall this year, the biggest upset is Allen Crowder (+375) over Greg Hardy.
Odds Shark will update the records for versus favorites. Additionally, we’ll break down the profits based on 100 on each underdog vs $100 on every favorite.
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